Monday, March 03, 2008

Primary

I've been thinking a lot about tomorrow's primaries in Ohio and Texas. The latest word from Hillary Clinton's campaign has been that if Obama doesn't win both states its essentially a win for Hillary... if I'm reading things right. Its not enough for Hillary to win the popular vote to stay viable. She actually has to have a blow out. She has to show that she's not Mike Huckabee or it will be all but over. Given that Texas will likely yield far less in the number of delegates than Obama seems poised to get I don't think she has a chance. Even with the race tightening (which if you follow these things is what inevitably happens) Obama still has the edge where it matters in Texas's weird primary system.

Then there are the negative tactics Hillary has taken to using. I'm talking about the pic of Obama in a turban and her odd way of answering the question of if she thought he was a Muslim on 60 minutes. Tom D'antoni, over at the Huffington Post pretty much says everything I feel about this.

I don't think Hillary will abandon her campaign whatever the outcome tomorrow. She just has too much invested in this run to let it go at this point. I don't expect that she will be able to overtake Obama without a blowout victory in a big state though. But this will probably go all the way to the convention.

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